Environmental Science
Ecosystem Vulnerability to Climate Change: Methods for Assessment, Observations, and Forecast
Ecosystem Vulnerability to Climate Change: Methods for Assessment, Observations, and Forecast
July 5 - 14, 2010
| Extended application deadline: | March 15, 2010 |
| Course Directors: |
Rik Leemans, Wageningen University, Environmental Sciences Department, Environmental Systems Analysis Group, Netherlands / SENSE Research School for Socio-Economic and Natural Sciences of the Environment Anton Shkaruba, Department of Environmental Science and Policy, CEU, Hungary |
| Faculty: (to be cofirmed) |
Ned Dwyer, Coastal and Marine Resources Centre, University College Cork, Ireland Maria Falaleeva, Coastal and Marine Resources Centre, University College Cork, Ireland Sandor Herodek, Balaton Limnological Research Institute, Tihany, Hungary Matthijs Hisschemöller, Institute for Environmental Studies (IVM), Department of Environmental Governance, Free University Amsterdam, Netherlands Marc Metzger, Centre for the Study of Environmental Change and Sustainability (CECS), University of Edinburgh Hans-Peter Nachtnebel, Institute for Water Management, Hydrology and Hydraulic Engineering, University of Natural Resources and Applied Life Sciences (BOKU), Vienna, Austria Martin Sykes, Physical Geography and Ecosystems Analysis, Lund University, Sweden Dimitrios Zikos, OEKUS - Division of Social Sciences, The Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research-UFZ, Germany Jouni Paavola, School of Earth and Environment, Faculty of Environment, University of Leeds, UK |
Formerly a subject of academic enquiries, ecosystem vulnerability to climate change becomes a very practical issue. Many sectors, including forestry, biodiversity conservation, water management, agriculture (to name a few) need information about ongoing and future states of ecosystems. This is a field of studies where natural scientists meet their colleagues from social and policy science more often than usual, and where uncertainties are particularly high, because ecosystem complexity meets here the complexity of social systems, which can be even less predictable. Understanding the uncertainties is a key to successful research in the field; however, differences in academic backgrounds and the professional experience of people, even working in the same team, often prevent research teams from formulating a shared vision and achieving satisfactory results. New developments constantly appearing in this dynamic field make the task of staying up-to-date even more challenging, especially in disciplines outside the researcher's particular area of expertise (otherwise relevant though).
To address these problems, the course will pursue the following objectives:
- to facilitate transfer of knowledge on emerging research areas and cross-cutting issues of environmental science;
- to build capacity for adequate and efficient research oriented towards the international research community of environmental research, based on multidisciplinary; approaches and concepts, most recent findings and state-of-the-art and policy relevant research objectives;
- 3. to demonstrate what constitutes good research in the field, and how it can be communicated to the academic community and translated into policy-relevant conclusions.
Each session will consist of a talk and group work (including in-hand modelling assignments) followed by presentations and discussions moderated by one of the lecturers. Sessions covering theoretical issues will be combined with workshops on methodology and practical skills trainings (e.g. on writing a good paper and training in statistical tools). The following topics will be covered during the course:
- dynamic modelling of vegetation, ecosystem services in a global change context by Martin Sykes,
- exploring environmental change through alternative future scenarios by Marc Metzger,
- spatially explicit assessment of ecosystem vulnerability by Marc Metzger,
- global aspects of climate change on biosphere (lecturer TBD),
- challenges of climate change: social perspective (lecturer TBD),
- integrated assessment tools and potential mitigation and adaptation options and strategies for environmental change by Rik Leemans,
- local communities' perspective on ecosystem vulnerability by Maria Falaleeva and Dimitrios Zikos,
- strategies for adaptive environmental management by Maria Falaleeva,
- Climate change and ecosystems: policy perspective on Integrative assessments by Matthijs Hisschemöller,
- ecosystem vulnerability and engineering systems by Hans-Peter Nachtnebel,
- remote sensing and GIS applications for monitoring and analysis of ecosystem changes by Ned Dwyer,
- effects of climate change on limnic systems and adaptation measures (with field trip to Lake Balaton and the Kis-Balaton reservoir) by Sándor Herodek.
After the course a Google group will be set up to help further networking of course participants.